Southwell (AW) 7:30 Result
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Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | 484246 | — | |||
| 2 | — | 558474 | — | |||
| 3 | — | 512840 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionSailor's ReturnConfidence 4/5Didn't win
Sailor's Return won last time out (form 466041) with a good stable in O'Meara and Beasley up, and the addition of tongue-tie suggests they've addressed any breathing issue that may have held her up in earlier defeats. She's a lightly-raced 3yo filly still fairly treated on 64, race fit having run 17 days ago, and clearly progressive with the pattern of finishing improving through the form figures. Stablemate Ceinture d'Orion is also interesting but her form figures (463437) are more inconsistent and she's yet to find the win button this campaign, whereas Sailor's Return has proven she can get the job done fresh off a break. No Knee Never and Dream Illusion carry the same 137lb top weight and both have question marks - No Knee Never hasn't won for a while (503066) and Dream Illusion's finishing position of 9th last time is a small worry despite the OR. Age of Baroque is consistent but hasn't won and looks held up in a stronger grade previously. Overall this looks a competitive, messy lower-class handicap where the confirmed winner with fresh headgear and a leading yard/jockey combination for the class stands out as the most reliable poke. Dolo's Star was a easy-to-overlook 3yo but her form figure of 2 last time and a big level of days off (63) raises fitness queries, though she has ability - not quite backing her over the O'Meara filly who is already firing.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 5 | 65 | 394524 | — | |||
| 11 | 12 | ★ | 3 | 64 | 466041 | — | ||
| Sailor's Return won last time out (form 466041) with a good stable in O'Meara and Beasley up, and the addition of tongue-tie suggests they've addressed any breathing issue that may have held her up in earlier defeats. | ||||||||
| 12 | 3 | 4 | 59 | 512840 | — | |||
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 63 | 463437 | — | |||
| 14 | 6 | 7 | 58 | 550659 | — | |||
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 65 | 503066 | — | |||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 65 | 024829 | — | |||
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 64 | 452905 | — | |||
| 6 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 558474 | — | |||
| 7 | 1 | 4 | 61 | 060573 | — | |||
| 8 | 5 | ✓ | 5 | 61 | 484246 | — | ||
| 9 | 2 | 3 | 65 | 54203 | — | |||
| NR | 11 | 3 | 62 | 159211 | — | |||
| NR | 14 | 4 | 60 | -23122 | — | |||