Southwell (AW) 8:30 Result
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Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | -55331 | — | |||
| 2 | — | 657834 | — | |||
| 3 | — | 5-0166 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionFenlanderConfidence 4/5Didn't win
Fenlander's recent form line 611135 shows he's in cracking form and clearly well suited to this trip/surface, with two recent wins and consistently competitive efforts. He's the highest-rated horse in the field after Azure Zain/Bergerac/Miraculous but those carry question marks: Bergerac is out of form (0-0000) despite the tongue strap addition; Miraculous has been running over further and is stepping back sharply which is unproven; Azure Zain's form has tailed off (5-0166) and he's drawn widest in double figures at 10. Fenlander meanwhile has a recent win last time out from a similar campaign and looks fresh with only a 20-day break. His draw in 6 is workable and he's shown he handles this class/level with more than one recent success. Massimo Blue (-55331) is also in-form but lower rated and less proven at this level stepping up in class effectively. Flash Rascal is interesting as a improving 3yo but his form figures show more mixed efforts (-32318) and he's already had a good look at this grade. Overall Fenlander offers the cleanest profile: fit, in-form, trip-proven, and represents a trainer (Pam Sly) who is competitive at this level with a booked apprentice claiming 3lbs which helps. He looks the most reliable source of form in a competitive, moderate contest and should start amongst the market leaders, justifying being the number one selection on genuine substance rather than market position alone.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 4 | 75 | 5-0166 | — | |||
| 10 | 2 | 6 | 63 | 426772 | — | |||
| 11 | 3 | 7 | 56 | 54023/ | — | |||
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 74 | 0-0000 | — | |||
| 3 | 1 | 4 | 74 | 357812 | — | |||
| 4 | 6 | ★ | 5 | 73 | 611135 | — | ||
| Fenlander's recent form line 611135 shows he's in cracking form and clearly well suited to this trip/surface, with two recent wins and consistently competitive efforts. | ||||||||
| 5 | 11 | 7 | 72 | 657834 | — | |||
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 73 | -32318 | — | |||
| 7 | 7 | 7 | 69 | 277285 | — | |||
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 68 | 718873 | — | |||
| 9 | 4 | ✓ | 4 | 65 | -55331 | — | ||