Southwell (AW) 8:00 Result

Furturra has the strongest, most progressive profile: form figures 121240 show he's already won twice this season, including a recent close-up run, and carries the top weight on merit (OR80) which reflects genuine ability rather than a harsh mark. Tim Easterby's yard is in good form and Duran Fentiman takes over having ridden him previously with success. He ran just 7 days ago, suggesting he's fit, fresh and well-treated for a quick swift follow-up. The 6f trip and standard AW surface suit, as his form figures include wins over course/distance-type conditions, and the Mayson damsire influence brings speed which suits this minimal-distance nursery. Too Many Spirits also has a solid recent figure-string (52241) and is respected, but he's already race fit and stepped up in class before finding an easier assignment; his current mark of 75 looks fair rather than smart, and he's already had a few starts without a big level hike. Persian Land was a good second on debut-type form but has had a big 72-day break and is unproven fresher. Nour is interesting on placed form (33) but hasn't won and is stepping up in company. Statten Island's 444 figures show he's found placing hard against similar. Lord Ragnar's 02124 is progressive but the māo doesn't scream leading contender at this odds range. Trust Yourself looks the classic improving type dropped in weight after a recent win (0061) but is unproven against this calibre and is up in class off a low mark of 61 - could easily be workmanlike again but Furturra's superior class and recent scoring edge give him the nod. Overall, Furturra's dual-win form, quick backup, in-form yard and previous experience of the track/tripe combine to make him the most solid, value-adjusted betting proposition in a competitive nursery.