Goodwood 4:25 Result

Hope Rising has won four of her last five, form reads /41111, and she's clearly progressive, stepping up nicely through the weights but still only rated 77 despite that hot streak of wins. Fresh 22 days ago and clearly a stable in form. The step up in trip to 1m6f looks a positive given her pedigree (Phoenix Of Spain/Invincible Spirit damsire lines suggest stamina influences) and her recent scores suggest she's relishing a strong test of stamina rather than being outpaced. Jamie Snowden's yard has been firing, and Rob Hornby takes over having ridden winners for the stable. Key market rivals: Personal Best is consistent (-43213) but hasn't quite got the win recently and is 4lb higher; Quebella's form (64-334) shows she's finding one too good; Green Sky won three in a row but faded to 8th last time, a slight worry. Kissmehoneyhoney has talent (Haggas/Marquand) but her solitary win was well below this trip and grade, still finding her feet at this level. Hope Rising's sheer W-W-W-W-1 sequence, allied to unexposed profile relative to rating, gives her the strongest upward trajectory in the field, and I make her clearly overpriced against those with patchier recent form.