Southwell (AW) 4:30 Result

What A Tahoo is in-form (315141) with a recent win last time out just 12 days ago, showing she handles this track/trip well and is progressive as a lightly-raced 3yo filly for a strong Fahey yard. Her rating of 56 looks workable off this mark given the recent win, and the quick turnaround suggests the stable is happy with her wellbeing and progress. Draw 5 is workable in a 7-runner sprint. Startling (form 322422) is consistent but seems to keep finding one better, hovering around minor-placed finishes without a win in that sequence - could be knocking on the door but market likely to shorten her up as forecast favourite based on consistency alone, not value. Invincible Crown's form has tailed off with a 0 last time. Gwen Tennyson is interesting with a big improvement to finish 3rd last time from a lower mark (49) but unproven to find more again so quickly, and drops back in class of field slightly. Bust A Moon and Poetic Jack are held on recent form and ratings. Mimime has been running over further and steps back in trip, unproven at this minimal distance recently. Overall, What A Tahoo's smart recent victory, fitness (quick reappearance), and Fahey's snow strong strike-rate with lightly raced sprint fillies make her the swiftest improving type in the race, and she looks best of these on beaten-favourite type profile without being the automatic market pick that Startling may be considering her more middling profile of places without wins.