Perth 5:07 Result
Nairn's Oatcakes Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Race
Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | 3-P141 | — | |||
| 2 | — | -27432 | — | |||
| 3 | — | 43-PP6 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionSeeyainthesuninnConfidence 3/5Won ✓
Top-rated in the field on 94 OR, carries top weight for good reason. Form figures 3-P141 show a recent win and consistent placing, with the P likely an unseated/fell rather than a running-out-of-steam effort, and the "1" last time shows he's fit and firing off a 25-day break. Fairly Fulling (90 OR) is the obvious market rival but is returning from an 83-day layoff and his best figure ("41") came a long way back in that string; Les's Destiny Star also has a P in the past figures and is stepping up in class/questionable at this trip having needed cheekpieces added. Masterminding is holding form well (6-2324) but is 8lb+ behind on ratings and hasn't shown boilover-level improvement to suggest he can reel in the top-rated horse. Forest Spirit and Magic Gloves are interesting improving types but concede weight and are unproven at this 3m trip having won/placed mostly short of it. Seeyainthesuninn's rating advantage, recent solid run fresh off a break, and the fact that this is a stayers' trip where the highest-rated, most tested horse often prevails in a lower-class handicap make him the swing selection. Alice Stevens' 3lb claim helps ease the weight burden. I'm backing class and current form over unproven improvers.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ✓ ★ | 6 | 94 | 3-P141 | — | ||
| Top-rated in the field on 94 OR, carries top weight for good reason. | ||||||||
| 10 | 0 | 6 | 73 | 4PPP-9 | — | |||
| 11 | 0 | 8 | 73 | 67P257 | — | |||
| 12 | 0 | 5 | 69 | 86-755 | — | |||
| 2 | 0 | 8 | 90 | 41-P41 | — | |||
| 3 | 0 | 7 | 89 | 43-PP6 | — | |||
| 4 | 0 | 7 | 86 | 6-2324 | — | |||
| 5 | 0 | 5 | 84 | -27432 | — | |||
| 6 | 0 | 5 | 84 | 480-02 | — | |||
| 7 | 0 | 7 | 82 | 65542- | — | |||
| 8 | 0 | 5 | 77 | 96-643 | — | |||
| 9 | 0 | 7 | 76 | -79349 | — | |||