Newcastle (AW) 7:30 Result
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Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | 112197 | — | |||
| 2 | — | 149361 | — | |||
| 3 | — | 27-890 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionCriminal ShoreConfidence 4/5Didn't win
Criminal Shore is top-rated on official figures (OR 70, joint-highest) and his recent form reads 106063 - a win and multiple placed efforts in his last six starts, showing he's in good form and consistent. Ran just 3 days ago suggesting he's fit and the yard is happy with him. David O'Meara is a powerful, in-form handicap trainer who knows how to place his horses at this level, and the addition of a visor for this run suggests they're trying to sharpen him up further, which is a positive intent signal. The 5lb claim from Whiteley helps him carry a feasible weight. Draw 6 is workable over 7f at Newcastle. Jamaican Storm (149361) is the other in-form type with a recent win, but he's lower rated and his solitary win came at a different class/distance profile - he looks respectable but not quite proven enough to be preferred over the widely-experienced, well-weighted top-rated horse. Feel The Need has a break of form and questionable recent efforts (0-2006), while Yaajooz is stepping up in class off a long layoff. Enpassant's yard form is moderate and has had a break too. Spartan Fighter is old and lightly campaigned this year off a 183-day break, hard to trust fresh. Overall, Criminal Shore combines the best blend of proven ability at the trip, recent solid form, quick backup after his last run, and shrewd training/riding claim value - he looks the most complete, rounded contender in a moderate Class 5 field, and represents a fair betting proposition without being oddly short given his rating edge.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 6 | ★ | 4 | 70 | 106063 | — | ||
| Criminal Shore is top-rated on official figures (OR 70, joint-highest) and his recent form reads 106063 - a win and multiple placed efforts in his last six starts, showing he's in good form and consistent. | ||||||||
| 3 | 3 | 6 | 70 | 0-2006 | — | |||
| 4 | 5 | 5 | 68 | 27-890 | — | |||
| 5 | 8 | 6 | 66 | 6-5090 | — | |||
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 66 | 917714 | — | |||
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 149361 | — | |||
| 8 | 1 | 4 | 63 | 668592 | — | |||
| 9 | 4 | ✓ | 9 | 62 | 112197 | — | ||
| NR | 2 | 4 | 70 | 060781 | — | |||