Navan 4:15 Result
Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle This Saturday Handicap (Div II)
Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | -75382 | — | |||
| 2 | — | 00860- | — | |||
| 3 | — | 125641 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionMythical RockConfidence 4/5Didn't win
Mythical Rock is in career-best form, with his recent line reading 762022 - two runner-up efforts in his last two starts, both close finishes, showing he's fit, in form and finding the frame consistently at a fair mark of 65. He carries top weight of 136lbs jointly with Comfort Line but that reflects his rising ability rather than an unfair burden - his last two runs came at a similar level and he was competitive, suggesting the handicapper hasn't fully caught up. Visor on for cheekpieces/visor is already fitted (v) which has coincided with his improved runs, and Sean Davis takes the ride. Drawn 3, low enough to get a good position without being fully boxed in on a straight mile at Navan.
Compare this to the confusing forecast field: Trumph (OR70) is unproven in handicaps with only a maiden win't-place amongst starts (8-06), Sherekiya is a step down in class for a well-bred Aga Khan filly but her form figures (754-73) are moderate and she looks vulnerable dropping in). Comfort Line has useful recent form (125641) but is 9yo and has had a slightly higher workload; still, he's respected as a threat. Loingseoir's form has plateaued (744643) and looks held.
Given Mythical Rock's trajectory - improving, in-form, fit having run 15 days ago, drawn well, and with concealed upside after two seconds - he offers the best combination of solid claims and, at what should be a double-figure or mid-single-figure price, decent value relative to more fancied types like Trumph or Sherekiya who carry question marks of their own (class rise/drop, trip queries).
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 52 | -80570 | — | |||
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 57 | 0880 | — | |||
| 12 | 12 | 3 | 53 | 0-0980 | — | |||
| 13 | 1 | 3 | 51 | 942966 | — | |||
| 14 | 11 | 8 | 40 | 673003 | — | |||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 65 | 125641 | — | |||
| 3 | 3 | ★ | 5 | 65 | 762022 | — | ||
| Mythical Rock is in career-best form, with his recent line reading 762022 - two runner-up efforts in his last two starts, both close finishes, showing he's fit, in form and finding the frame consistently at a fair mark of 65. He carries top weight of 136lbs jointly with Comfort Line but that reflects his rising ability rather than an unfair burden - his last two runs came at a similar level and he was competitive, suggesting the handicapper hasn't fully caught up. Visor on for cheekpieces/visor is already fitted (v) which has coincided with his improved runs, and Sean Davis takes the ride. Drawn 3, low enough to get a good position without being fully boxed in on a straight mile at Navan. | ||||||||
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 70 | 8-06 | — | |||
| 6 | 8 | ✓ | 3 | 65 | -75382 | — | ||
| 7 | 13 | 3 | 63 | 472755 | — | |||
| 8 | 14 | 4 | 57 | 00860- | — | |||
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 62 | 2-0230 | — | |||
| NR | 10 | 3 | 69 | 754-73 | — | |||
| NR | 4 | 10 | 69 | 744643 | — | |||