Navan 1:44 Result

This looks a fairly weak nursery and Howlin Wolf's form figures (7741) stand out - a recent win last time out following two closely-matched efforts against likely stronger company, with clear improvement shown. Top weight Supreme Lord (79 OR, Amo Racing/Starman colt) is the obvious market leader on a 355 profile, but his best form includes a couple of below-par efforts and he's out of the top yard with a fair OR hike already factored - he looks the one to beat rather than an automatic banker, and carries the concession worries at 138lbs against these. Howlin Wolf's rating of 73 with a genuine recent win, wide-but-workable draw of 8, and a yard/jockey combo (James Ryan) that clearly has him progressing gives him solid claims to follow up. Someday Somewhere (344) is respectable but hasn't shown the same scoring instinct yet, and stepping out from an improving-but-not-winning profile. The rest of the field carry moderate or inconsistent form (Prince Of Peppard 967, Two Brigade 8568, Lucy's Promise 07680, No Time Faults 6000, Little Diva 590) and look up against it on official ratings and recent efforts. Howlin Wolf's trajectory, recent scoring run and workable weight make him the value angle against a warm favourite carrying more weight and questions over one of his sub-par recent runs.