Naas 5:30 Result

Alice Monet carries top weight for good reason - she's the classiest horse in this handicap by some margin. Her form figures 1149-3 show a recent win, and she's from the powerful Weld yard for Moyglare Stud, a top-tier owner-trainer combination that doesn't waste time in modest handicaps without a strong chance. Bred by Teofilo out of a Dubawi mare, she has the pedigree to be well ahead of this grade on ability, and the OR of 96 stands clear of the field bar Port Of Spain. Sam Coen takes over, a positive booking. The step to 1m2f looks ideal given her German/middle-distance pedigree influences. Port Of Spain (OR 102) is the highest rated and from Ballydoyle, but his recent form figures 37-507 are inconsistent, and first-time/continued blinkers suggest they're still trying to find the key to him - a colt who's underperformed relative to his mark. He's respected but the profile isn't as reassuring as Alice Monet's recent third and general placed form. Guardian Of Realm has solid form (322-61) but a 87-day layoff is a concern fresh into a competitive handicap, and awkward draw 10 doesn't help. Diamond Exchange has been in good form (318751) and won last time out, a threat, but is up in class/weight now. Alice Monet's dip in form is minor (a recent 3rd), she's fit having run 18 days ago, and the market should respect the Weld/Moyglare combination. She looks the horse to be on side, with a genuine chance to confirm superiority over this field at a fair price given recent scratchy efforts masking real letters of ability.