Naas 4:00 Result
Tally-Ho Stud Irish EBF Ballyogan Stakes (Group 3)
Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | 38-544 | — | |||
| 2 | — | -19131 | — | |||
| 3 | — | 6-1121 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionHavana AnnaConfidence 4/5
Havana Anna carries the highest OR (108) in the field by a clear margin and her recent form figures 20-147 include a strong recent effort. By Havana Grey, a top sprint sire, she's bred for this exact 6f test and is only 3yo carrying just 130lbs against elder rivals off big weight-for-age allowance. Donnacha O'Brien's yard has been in good form and Gavin Ryan takes the ride. Her rating advantage over Soul Love (101), Dancing Saxon (96) and First Instinct (105) suggests she is well ahead on official assessment, yet the market is unlikely to fully respect a 3yo filly stepping into Group 3 company against experienced older sprinters. Dancing Saxon (unbeaten-ish recent figures 6-1121) and Soul Love (recent win figures -19131) are the closest market rivals, but neither matches Havana Anna's rating ceiling. First Instinct has useful form for Haggas but hasn't quite hit those heights again since a below-par run. Given the pace of this genuine 6f Group 3, a filly with genuine speed and the highest RPR/OR profile looks best served, and with weight-for-age working in her favour, she rates the most likely winner and clear value against non-standout older rivals.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ✓ | 4 | 91 | 38-544 | — | ||
| 2 | 4 | 4 | 105 | 10-902 | — | |||
| 3 | 2 | 4 | 84 | 58-607 | — | |||
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 84 | 221158 | — | |||
| 5 | 1 | 3 | 96 | 6-1121 | — | |||
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 78 | 717828 | — | |||
| 7 | 5 | ★ | 3 | 108 | 20-147 | — | ||
| Havana Anna carries the highest OR (108) in the field by a clear margin and her recent form figures 20-147 include a strong recent effort. | ||||||||
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 101 | -19131 | — | |||