Listowel 4:48 Result

Jalila Moriviere carries top weight but with good reason - she's rated 139 off recent form of 82-291, culminating in a clear win last time out. Mullins/Mark Walsh is a top combination, and McManus ownership adds to the intent. Her form line shows progression and she's fit having run 29 days ago. Coming Up Easy (140 OR) is the obvious market rival but his form figure P0-2 shows some inconsistency, and de Bromhead has three runners here which can dilute confidence in any single one. Jalila's recent win suggests she's peaking at the right time, and mares often improve for du Bromhead-type build-ups. Weight of 165lbs is manageable given her rating edge is minimal over Coming Up Easy, and Walsh's man wins with McManus-owned Mullins horses at a high strike rate at this course/trip. The rest of the field is competitive but lacks the same recent upward trajectory - Warriors Wood and Where's My Jet are solid but capped at 120 OR, a good chunk below the leaders. Coral River has class (132 OR) but a 143-day layoff is a concern fitness-wise. Overall, Jalila Moriviere's recent winning form, in-form yard, and top jockey booking make her the most solid win case, even without being significantly overpriced - this looks a genuine chance at fair value given the depth of the handicap.