Kilbeggan 7:15 Result

Small beginners chase and this looks a clear match between the Mullins/Elliott string. My Great Mate has the highest OR (130) of the field, is with the champion trainer and has Paul Townend booked - a big stable confidence signal for a beginners chase. His recent form (4/24-3) shows he's been competitive at a decent level over fences already and is clearly progressive, with a third last time out suggesting more to come as he steps up in trip to 3m, a distance his rating and profile suggest he'll handle given he's already shown stamina traits. Chanceawetmorning (Elliott, OR unlisted but in-form with a 131934 sequence including recent wins) is the obvious threat and has more experience of actually winning, but his brand is more of a sharper, tactical sort and the manner of his recent placings (34) hints he may find this longer trip and the step up in class here tougher against a fresh, well-bred and well-connected type in My Great Mate. Moonovercloon (125 OR, wearing cheekpieces, indifferent 647-0P form) and Affinity Rock (122 OR, mare stepping up but held form 10-223) both look to be a leg below the market principals on ratings. Begger is the obvious make-up-the-numbers sort with unreliable U5-U70 form. This boils down to a match, and I'll side with the Mullins/Townend combination given the rating edge and the stable's strong record turning out well-regarded types fresh for beginners chases at this level.