Kempton (AW) 5:30 Result

Lovely Jubly won last time out and her form figures (0168-1) show she's progressive and racing well, culminating in a win. She carries top weight (135lbs, OR55) which reflects that recent superior form - handicappers have rated her on merit after that victory. She has fresh form (68 days since last run but that last run was a win) suggesting she's going the right way. Key rivals like Knightmare (222125) have been knocking on the door with plenty of seconds but the change to this class/trip may not suit as well, and Calaxy/Mbappe for the same yard both have modest recent form (84-69S and 167657) with more downs than ups lately. Ivat Ghia is only 3yo and has been dropping in class/consistency (866228) without winning. Lovely Jubly's rating matches the leading pack but she's the only one who has proven she can win most recently, and a 5yo mare stepping up having found her form looks the one to beat. The apprentice conditions and light-ish weight for a in-form horse make this appealing.