Kempton (AW) 2:50 Result

This is a genuinely interesting small-field Group 3 with a novelty name (Constitution Hill, the champion hurdler's namesake) but on ratings and recent form Gethin is the strongest runner here. He carries the highest official rating (117) of the field, is lightly raced and clearly progressive - his form figures 22-125 show he's been running well at a good level, with recent placed efforts against solid company and a win in there. Owen Burrows has a strong record with black-type performers for Wathnan Racing, and Callum Rodriguez taking the ride suggests confidence. At just 4 he's fresh, weight-carrying is reasonable at 133lbs (same as most of the field bar the topweight Dubai Future), and he steps up into a race that looks eminently winnable on ratings alone - he's 4lbs+ clear of every rival on official figures. Dubai Future is a warhorse at 10 with modest recent form (-84193) and the headgear addition (blinkers) hints at waning enthusiasm; he's respected but not feared. Pride Of Arras and Warrant Holder both have solid recent form but are rated below Gethin and both are stepping up in class/company. Constitution Hill (the horse, not the jumps legend) has a big absence (164 days) and modest RPR/OR of just 101 - looks the weakest on pure figures despite an interesting recent second-in-a-row form figure. The stiffish demands of this Kempton mile-and-a-half on Standard/Slow AW should suit a big, raw stayer type like Gethin who looks to be improving with racing. I'll side with the highest-rated, freshest, most progressive runner in a race that lacks a standout leader on pure ratings.