Kempton (AW) 6:54 Result

Form figures 231211 show a horse in career-best form, winning last two starts and clearly progressive at 3yo, now racing off a fair mark of 77. Consistent placing/winning at this trip suggests the mile suits well, and momentum is firmly with him having strung together wins with minimal petering out. David Egan takes over which is a positive booking, and John Butler's yard has been in form. Compared to Go Rimbaud (up in class/weight off inconsistent 15102 figures, big Gosden name but hasn't strung results together lately) and Starlight Time (useful but leggy 1-8851 figure shows one blip), Fallacious Promise's improving profile and repeated placed-or-won record stands out as the most reliable in-form runner. Suggy also chasing a similar profile (-18114) but hasn't matched the most recent solid双-win sequence. Wuood is interesting on a 21 figure (only two runs) but lightly raced and unproven compared to this in-form gelding who has already answered questions about track/trip suitability with two recent victories. At a fair each-way/win price this represents value versus a warm favourite like Go Rimbaud who is unproven to carry current class rise after a rocky recent sequence.