Gowran Park 2:41 Result

This is the most exposed and consistent filly in the field, with an OR of 98 dwarfing Lusted's 75 and all others unrated (no form or lightly raced). Her 55338 form shows she has been running against much better company already, including placed efforts, and she's already shown she stays a mile. The step up to a maiden field of largely unproven or lightly-raced rivals should suit, and Aidan O'Brien's yard, combined with a booking for Lordan, signals intent. The addition of blinkers for the first time could sharpen her up and get her over the line having flattered with those minor-placed efforts. Her rivals include several unraced O'Brien/Murphy/de Bromhead types (Hereafter, Reams Of Gold, Unreal Friend) that are unknown quantities from good stables but carry more risk than a proven, race-fit filly with solid form. Isle Of Capri (63) and Violet Be Humble (45) have shown some ability but neither has the profile or rating to match Nevermindtherain's proven competitiveness at a good level. Given she is dropping into a maiden after competing in better grade races, and with a positive equipment change, she rates the most reliable and progressive option to win. While the market may push some of the fashionable unraced O'Brien or Murphy fillies to short prices on pedigree alone, I prefer the proven form and rating edge here.