Downpatrick 3:22 Result

Ritz Plan has the strongest and most consistent form in the field - a string of placed efforts (242-4) before a recent win, for a powerful connections team (S R B Crawford / J J Slevin, top jockey booking is a big positive signal). OR 102 is competitive, she's lightly race and clearly progressive, and the step up in trip to 2m6f should suit given her German/French jumps pedigree (Shaman is a proven jumps sire) and the fact she's already shown she stays adequately. Coded Welder (OR108) is the classic form choice but his profile (0-2485) suggests inconsistency and he's already 7 and yet to break through in this maiden company, while carrying top weight. Tribal Moon similarly has a moderate scratchy formline (0-7305) and tongue tie which raises stamina/attitude questions. The unexposed types (Fortis Et Liber, Fuusland, Majestic Horizon) all have big stables (Bowe, Elliott) but little to go on in terms of proven maiden hurdle form, and Fuusland's U4 and Majestic Horizon's big layoff (101 days) add risk. Ritz Plan looks the most solid, proven stayer with a recent win and drop back in class relative to calibre, and Slevin's booking suggests real intent from a yard with a good record. She looks overpriced relative to a fair market given her been-there-done-that profile against several unexposed types with question marks.