Ayr 4:45 Result

Filly Eilish carries the highest OR (69) in the field and her recent form figures 266155 show she's rounded into excellent form, winning last time out. She's a 3yo taking on older, established handicappers off a low-ish weight relative to her mark, and 3yos at this time of year are often still improving compared to fully-exposed geldings like Sanafi Zabeel and Up The Jazz (both also 68 but with more expansive, mixed form lines - 345130 and 612752 respectively, suggesting more inconsistency). Her trainer Ivan Furtado has a knack with sprint/mile handicappers and the tongue-tie may be aiding focus given recent placings turned into a win. Up The Jazz's task at 22 days since last run and a wide draw (9) is a slight concern, while Sanafi Zabeel ran just a day ago and could bounce given quick backup, though that can also mean fitness/form is sharp - Goldie's yard is in form. Still, Filly Eilish's trajectory (2-6-6-1-5-5, actually improving to a win last time) and fair draw suggest she's the one in the form. Ice Cube is interesting on a good recent effort (656141) but has more petrol used with a similar quick turnaround and is 3lbs lower rated. Overall Filly Eilish looks the most progressive, best-handicapped runner with the strongest recent finishing form, and looks overpriced relative to genuine well-in claims given her rating tops the race.