Ayr 1:55 Result
Get Home Safe With Thistle Cabs EBF Nursery Handicap Stakes
Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | 733375 | — | |||
| 2 | — | 2100 | — | |||
| 3 | — | 3100 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionDontlookanyfurtherConfidence 4/5Didn't win
Top-rated on official figures (91) and carries top weight deservedly - form reads 611, meaning last two starts have been a win and this recent effort, showing improvement and a strong recent win to boost confidence. Only 13 days since last run, keeping him fresh and sharp. Draw 1 is workable at Ayr over 6f, and John & Sean Quinn plus Jason Hart is a solid team who clearly believe in this colt given the confident weight assignment. Siouxperb (88) and Crystal Queen (88) are the closest on paper but both have query marks - Siouxperb's form figure includes an '8' last time and a 30-day break, while Crystal Queen's last run also ended with a '0'. Neither has the same upward trajectory as the selection, whose form figures (6-1-1) show a horse rapidly progressing and already winning at this level/distance. Tropical Crown (15) looks interesting for the future but the 58-day layoff and unproven price relative to today's stronger field make her less certain for today, and she steps up in class. Given Dontlookanyfurther is proven at today's course/distance conditions with a recent win, is fit having run just 13 days ago, and sits on the best rating in the field with a trainer/jockey combo clearly targeting the race, he is the most solid consistent case for victory. The forecast market likely reflects this as favourite, but the profile more than earns favouritism rather than being purely a false-favourite scenario - his rating advantage and winning form justify the price.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ★ | 2 | 91 | 611 | — | ||
| Top-rated on official figures (91) and carries top weight deservedly - form reads 611, meaning last two starts have been a win and this recent effort, showing improvement and a strong recent win to boost confidence. | ||||||||
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 76 | 124053 | — | |||
| 11 | 2 | 2 | 74 | 3443 | — | |||
| 12 | 6 | ✓ | 2 | 68 | 733375 | — | ||
| 13 | 13 | 2 | 67 | 536913 | — | |||
| 2 | 4 | 2 | 88 | 1028 | — | |||
| 3 | 9 | 2 | 88 | 2100 | — | |||
| 4 | 11 | 2 | 84 | 15 | — | |||
| 5 | 12 | 2 | 83 | 4100 | — | |||
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 82 | 4214 | — | |||
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 80 | 3421 | — | |||
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 79 | 3100 | — | |||
| 9 | 10 | 2 | 78 | 526 | — | |||