Yarmouth 3:47 Result

Top-weight Asgar has solid form but is unproven at getting the job done from the front rank of the weights, and his last run form figure "6" needs checking against class rise. Javelot instead has the most progressive and clean-cut profile: form figures 4-1 show he won last time out and is clearly on an upward curve, with a yard (Botti) and jockey (De Sousa) combination that gets results with improving 2yos. His only two runs show a big leap forward - beaten a length or so in a maiden before scoring, suggesting the improvement is genuine rather than a fluke. He carries a fair 132lbs (OR 72) but that's proportionate to his demonstrated ability, and unlike several in this field he is unexposed and could have more in the tank. Rocket Boots and King of Montenegro both have inconsistent profiles (4-2-4-0 and 5-9-2-4) suggesting susceptibility, while Indian Land's 0-1-7 figures show one benefit-of-doubt placed effort sandwiched by a non-completion and a well-held run - hard to trust fully fit again for this class after 75 days off. Green Titan and Kigali are both fading in the form figures (2647 and 6799 respectively) suggesting they're already found out at this level. Lilywhite Hart and Mandolin Rain are the fillies with modest RPR/OR figures that look held. Javelot's price should still offer some value given he's yet to be fully tested in a competitive nursery, and his trainer/jockey combo (Botti/De Sousa) have a strong strike-rate with fillies and colts stepped up in grade off a winning effort. He looks the type to defy a rise in class as a fast-improving sort with only two starts to his name.