Thirsk 2:51 Result
Patrick Hibbert-Foy Memorial Nursery Handicap Stakes
Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | 3471 | — | |||
| 2 | — | 665 | — | |||
| 3 | — | 53665 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionDissenterConfidence 3/5Didn't win
Top-weight Dissenter carries the highest OR (65) in the field with clear justification - form figures 5157 show a recent win and consistent competitive placings, with the last run just 19 days ago suggesting fitness. Marcus Tregoning is a shrewd handler who doesn't often run bad two-year-olds and the yard clearly thinks well of this filly given the mark. Draw 6 is workable at Thirsk over 6f. Bladey Lady (form 3471, Easterby yard in good form) and Dadawada (546, wearing hood, dropping into a race like this) are the closest market rivals but both carry more question marks - Dadawada's form figures are moving the wrong way and Bladey Lady has yet to actually win. Dissenter's last-time win under her belt at a competitive level, combined with the fact she's up against similar or lower-rated rivals here, gives her the strongest case on official ratings and recent form. The gelding Dream On Kent and Mrs Mole are consistent but plateauing rather than progressing. In a messy 16-runner nursery, taking the classiest, freshest-formed, top-rated runner with a genuine recent win is the most solid approach.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ★ | 2 | 65 | 5157 | — | ||
| Top-weight Dissenter carries the highest OR (65) in the field with clear justification - form figures 5157 show a recent win and consistent competitive placings, with the last run just 19 days ago suggesting fitness. | ||||||||
| 10 | 14 | 2 | 55 | 340 | — | |||
| 11 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 7407 | — | |||
| 12 | 15 | 2 | 53 | 3059 | — | |||
| 13 | 4 | 2 | 49 | 6540 | — | |||
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 49 | 665 | — | |||
| 16 | 12 | 2 | 48 | 693367 | — | |||
| 17 | 10 | 2 | 32 | 0806 | — | |||
| 2 | 17 | 2 | 59 | 822698 | — | |||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 59 | 4933 | — | |||
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 59 | 53665 | — | |||
| 5 | 16 | 2 | 57 | 5782 | — | |||
| 6 | 13 | ✓ | 2 | 57 | 3471 | — | ||
| 7 | 8 | 2 | 56 | 5862 | — | |||
| 8 | 11 | 2 | 56 | 546 | — | |||
| 9 | 3 | 2 | 55 | 7576 | — | |||
| NR | 7 | 2 | 49 | 559 | — | |||