Roscommon 5:05 Result

Nastya carries top weight on merit with OR 116, well clear of this field on ratings, and her recent form figures 1F-1PP show she's been running well when completing, with two wins in there. Trained by Henry de Bromhead, a top handler well capable of placing a mare to win a valuable mares' handicap chase like this, and Darragh O'Keeffe is a strong booking. The application of tongue tie suggests attention to detail from a top yard. Her market class edge (7lb+ clear of most rivals on OR) should tell in a steady-run staying chase, and she looks the one to beat. Jolie Jewel (112) is the closest on ratings and in form (6-3263) but has more petrol to find and her jockey is a 5lb claimer stepping up. Beauforts Storm and Bynx are unreliable jumpers on recent evidence with unexposed profiles that don't inspire confidence at this class. Neon Diamond is interesting for Elliott but has had a long layoff (113 days) and his last start was a pulled-up. Overall Nastya's class advantage combined with a in-form yard makes her the strongest厳 standout in a moderate race.