Roscommon 4:30 Result
Ballymore Group Irish EBF Kilbegnet Novice Steeplechase
Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | -522U1 | — | |||
| 2 | — | 3-1211 | — | |||
| 3 | — | 77F6-4 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionFemme MagnifiqueConfidence 4/5Didn't win
Small four-runner field where form/ratings do most of the talking. Femme Magnifique brings the strongest recent form line (3-1211) with two wins on the bounce, highest OR of the confirmed-rated runners at 125, and a quick 31-day turnaround suggesting the yard is happy with how she's going. As an experienced 8yo mare who has clearly progressed this campaign, she looks the one to beat over fences at this trip. Wild Bill Hickok (133 OR) has the higher rating but his form figures (0-1316) are more mixed with a couple of blank runs mixed among the placings, and at just 4yo he's still relatively raw for this grade over fences - the rating may be flattering earlier placed form. A Snow White Park has a smart recent win (-522U1) for the powerful Mullins stable and Danny Mullins takes the ride, but she was falling/unseating not long ago (the U in the string) and her OR of 112 is lowest of the confirmed group, suggesting she's simply not qualified against these on ratings. Miss Fourie for Gordon Elliott is unrated here, wears cheekpieces first time you'd think would be noted, and her form figures (77F6-4) are moderate with a fall in there too - hard to trust fully. Overall Femme Magnifique's rating, in-form figures and manageable weight make her the most rounded contender, and if she is sent off at a fair price against the class-leading rated favourite this represents value given her recent scoring sequence.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | 4 | 133 | 0-1316 | — | |||
| 3 | 0 | ✓ | 5 | 112 | -522U1 | — | ||
| 4 | 0 | ★ | 8 | 125 | 3-1211 | — | ||
| Small four-runner field where form/ratings do most of the talking. | ||||||||
| 5 | 0 | 9 | – | 77F6-4 | — | |||
| NR | 0 | 7 | - | 92/121 | — | |||