Roscommon 7:55 Result

This is a wide-open 3yo handicap over 1m4f, but Wipeawayyourtears stands out on recent form. Her figures 6-2319 show rapid progress - a placed effort, a win, and most recently another placed run, all seemingly around this sort of trip/class, with the "9" likely just a below-par blip. The trajectory (2-3-1-9) suggests a filly on the upgrade who has already proven she can win off a competitive mark, and top weight of 142lbs actually reflects an OR of 59 earned through solid recent form rather than being stuck there through decline. Michael Butler's yard can operate effectively with 3yo handicappers, and the promise shown claims she's better than several rivals here who are either fading (Sir Trancealot 077350, Priorstown 6070) or stuck on modest form figures with 0's dominating (Nosmokewithoutfire, Curious Jane, Flagstone Lady, Tintinabulla). Ellens Bay (0-003) is interesting with an escalating figure but unproven winning that trip. Canon Law's 066251 shows a nice recent second but he was well beaten prior. Augusta Rock's 08-852 shows consistency but hasn't gone one better yet and draws poorly from stall 18. Glen Echo and Nathema share the same top rating (59) as Wipeawayyourtears but their form (070033 and 8-8482) is more mixed/moderate compared to Wipeawayyourtears' clear upward curve including an actual win. In a big 19-runner field where market and physical draw chaos can dictate outcomes, backing the filly with proven recent winning form and the best trajectory gives the strongest case. She looks capable of following up.