Roscommon 7:25 Result

A big 19-runner handicap makes pace and racing luck important, but Youcansaythatagain stands out on class and progress. A lightly-raced 3yo colt by Ghaiyyath out of a Dansili mare, he's clearly progressive - form figures 715 show he's already won readily and franked that with another solid effort, all while still fairly fresh (only a handful of starts). His OR of 82 is the highest in the field, yet he's fresh into this grade off a good draw (1) which should let W J Lee dictate a good tactical position from the inside without being caught wide in a huge field. Trainer A Oliver's yard is in form and Lee is a strong booking for a stable that clearly rates this colt given the confident placement in a valuable handicap. Three-year-olds racing against older, more exposed handicappers over middle distances often have more improvement in the tank, especially given the pedigree (Ghaiyyath/Dansili) which suggests stamina for 1m4f will not be an issue and there's more to come as he matures into further ground. Rivals like Superficial and Sea Eagle carry big weights (140lbs) without recent form to match, and older, more exposed types like Royal Saxo, Merlin The Wizard and Zoffman look held on official ratings and recent efforts. Stellar Moment (6321) is the closest form threat but is stepping up in class/distance conditions against experienced, well-weighted rivals and hasn't the same profile of alpha talent. Given the small weight rise off a fair mark and drawn to get a good position, Youcansaythatagain looks the value play at the top of the weights.