Newmarket 3:40 Result

In a 27-runner cavalry charge like the Cambridgeshire, lightly-raced improvers with big handicap potential and top stable/jockey combos are the ones to side with. Gavriel is a Frankel colt for the Gosden yard who has raced only four times, winning twice and never finishing out of the first two except once. His last-time-out second was a strong effort and the yard has a knack of placing well-bred, progressive types like this to peak fresh in big autumn handicaps. Robert Havlin knows the stable's horses intimately. He gets in on just 126lbs off an OR of 95, which looks lenient given the scope for further improvement — three-year-olds with rising ratings historically dominate this race as the weight-for-age allowance plus昆 unexposed profile is a classic winning template. Draw 28 is wide but with a strong pace expected in a big-field sprint-handicap-style mile-and-a-quarter, that shouldn't be fatal, and can even allow him to be tracked wide and covered with cover in the clear. Compare that to the senior formlines up in the weights - Hand of God, Indalo, Thunder Run - all carrying more weight and with more exposed profiles, look the source of the market's confidence but also the ones most vulnerable to feature well-known but fully touched ceiling ratings. Bourbon Blues is interesting (in-form, Ryan Moore engaged) but he's already been busy and is more the type to go off favourite without true valueleft. Gavriel offers the blend of untapped potential, top connections and a fair marked, and represents the best combination of solid winning chance and remaining value in the market.