Newcastle (AW) 4:35 Result
Northumbrian Wateraid Handicap Stakes
Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | 38-491 | — | |||
| 2 | — | 8-7067 | — | |||
| 2 | — | 956434 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionRubelliteConfidence 4/5Void — non-runner
Rubellite's form figures (411451) are outstanding - a recent winning sequence with only one blip, showing she's in career-best form right now and clearly relishes this trip/surface combination. Top weight at 141lbs reflects a rising handicap mark earned on merit, not a burden - she's proven she can carry weight and win. A mare in this kind of purple patch, racing fresh (last run 20 days ago), with an OR of 64 that looks light given her recent scoring, stands out in a moderate Class 6 field. Most rivals here are either resurfacing after long layoffs (Cusack, 115 days), unproven at this trip, or showing indifferent recent form (Ouro Preto's 979089, Beckon's -63990). That Darn Cantor and Sutton Hoo have decent marks but their form figures are patchy compared to Rubellite's dominant recent sequence. The key angle is that a mare who has strung together wins including a very recent one is clearly progressive and there's little in this race with the physical evidence to suggest they can rough her up back-to-back. Conor Whiteley takes the 5lb claim which helps offset the topweight concern. This looks like a warm order but represents the strongest, most in-form runner in a race lacking overall depth of quality, and connections (Hanlon) look to have her spot-on.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 65 | /54150 | — | |||
| 10 | 1 | 4 | 54 | 262479 | — | |||
| 11 | 13 | 3 | 57 | 252438 | — | |||
| 12 | 3 | 4 | 46 | 8-7067 | — | |||
| 2 | 9 | ★ | 6 | 64 | 411451 | — | ||
| Rubellite's form figures (411451) are outstanding - a recent winning sequence with only one blip, showing she's in career-best form right now and clearly relishes this trip/surface combination. | ||||||||
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 62 | 5-536 | — | |||
| 4 | 2 | 8 | 61 | 486-00 | — | |||
| 5 | 12 | 5 | 61 | 979089 | — | |||
| 6 | 11 | 3 | 65 | 956434 | — | |||
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 64 | 9-1009 | — | |||
| 8 | 4 | ✓ | 3 | 62 | 38-491 | — | ||
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 61 | -63990 | — | |||
| NR | 5 | 4 | 43 | 6-9865 | — | |||