Newbury 4:10 Result

Mobadir won last time out after a couple of below-par efforts, and that win form reads well - No Nay Never 2yos improve for a step up in trip/experience and he's clearly progressive with Ed Walker, a trainer who does well with this sort of improving juvenile. OR of 72 with only a small penalty looks fair, he gets a nice weight at 132lbs, and Kieran Shoemark takes over. The 6671 profile shows a horse who has needed the experience and finally clicked, and with a 7f trip likely to suit a horse whose dam is by Oasis Dream (stamina influence), there's more to come. Primal, Sovereigns High, Regal Tiger and Mino are all on similar marks (73) but each has question marks: Primal's form (6484) is moderate; Sovereigns High is stepping up in class after a maiden win; Regal Tiger's 422 is finishing without winning; Mino similarly hasn't scored yet. Mobadir already has the winning experience under his belt at a competitive level, which nurseries reward, and he looks the one most likely to keep progressing. Star Bayside Boy (01) is interesting - won LTO - but was dropping in grade/class assumptions unclear, and Tregoning's other runner Dissenter also progressive; but Mobadir's true form win, right handicap mark, and stable/jockey change all point to more improvement to come, making him the value proposition in a competitive but not top-class nursery.