Navan 5:30 Result
Lynn Lodge Stud Maiden
Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | 2-23 | — | |||
| 2 | — | 925 | — | |||
| 3 | — | 62 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionMichinagaConfidence 3/5Didn't win
This is a huge-field 23-runner maiden with plenty of unexposed types, but a few form lines stand out. Michinaga was a close-up 6th on debut before running a solid 9 last time (form 96), for the powerful Charles Weld yard, and his sire Rey De Oro/Deep Impact damsire suggests strong stamina for middle distances - improvement expected for a 3yo with only two runs. Handani (Weld) has useful form figures with an OR of 84, the highest rated horse in the field, and wears first-time cheekpieces, but is drawn very wide (23) in a maximum field which is a big concern over this trip at Navan, and Chris Hayes is a strong booking. Camelot Queen (OR72) and Sakoku (OR77) both have solid handicap-standard form and represent the smart JP O'Brien/Aidan O'Brien string but Camelot Queen looks best over further and Sakoku's tongue-tie suggests a breathing issue. Given the McCullagh ride for Metallic (JP O'Brien) was a promising 8th last time and Camelot has a strong stamina influence, but the whole O'Brien team is well fancied and it's hard to split. I'll side with Michinaga as the most progressive-looking type with a clear runner-up effort already banked, drawn reasonably (11) in a big field, and from a yard in form. The favourite likely comes from the massed JP O'Brien/O'Brien battalion or Handani, but the wide draw and unproven experience level make those vulnerable relative to a solid than of using Michinaga's clear placed form and consistent trajectory.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 6 | – | 9-0 | — | |||
| 10 | 10 | 3 | – | 90 | — | |||
| 11 | 18 | 3 | – | — | ||||
| 12 | 23 | ✓ | 3 | 84 | 2-23 | — | ||
| 14 | 5 | 3 | – | — | ||||
| 15 | 12 | 3 | – | 80 | — | |||
| 16 | 11 | ★ | 3 | – | 96 | — | ||
| This is a huge-field 23-runner maiden with plenty of unexposed types, but a few form lines stand out. | ||||||||
| 17 | 7 | 3 | – | — | ||||
| 18 | 6 | 3 | – | 62 | — | |||
| 19 | 22 | 3 | – | 0 | — | |||
| 2 | 1 | 4 | – | 52/ | — | |||
| 20 | 3 | 3 | – | — | ||||
| 21 | 8 | 3 | – | — | ||||
| 23 | 15 | 3 | 77 | 925 | — | |||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | – | 80 | — | |||
| 4 | 21 | 4 | – | 080 | — | |||
| 5 | 13 | 5 | 61 | 000 | — | |||
| 6 | 17 | 6 | – | 66 | — | |||
| 7 | 2 | 4 | – | 7 | — | |||
| 8 | 9 | 7 | – | 0-0 | — | |||
| 9 | 19 | 3 | – | 60 | — | |||
| NR | 16 | 3 | - | — | ||||
| NR | 14 | 3 | 72 | 6-3634 | — | |||