Navan 5:40 Result

This is a competitive maiden but Let's Smash It stands out on class and form. He holds the highest official rating in the field (81), well clear of Elusive Path (74), Chapel Lane (72) and Storzando (72), with the rest unrated/lightly raced fillies conceding weight. His form figures 2-334 show consistent placing at a fair level, including a 3rd last time out just 11 days ago, suggesting fitness and a straightforward attitude. He's by New Bay out of a Pivotal mare - both stamina influences that suit this straight/round mile at Navan. Trainer Robson De Aguiar and jockey Donagh O'Connor is a live combination and the rating gap is the key angle: he's already shown he belongs in better company than a bottom-level maiden, and dropping into this field with a big weight-for-rating edge (134lbs top weight but earned via the OR) makes him the one to beat. Elusive Path (G M Lyons/Colin Keane) is the obvious market rival with a big yard and jockey behind him, in-form figures 323, but his rating is lower and his profile looks more suited to stepping up in trip later; he's more the banker for placing than winning outright value. Chapel Lane adds cheekpieces and has been fairly consistent (3-6732) but hasn't shown the scope of Let's Smash It. The unraced/lightly-raced fillies (Riyazanka, Testaverde, Pattyandselma) are unknown quantities from live yards (Murtagh, J Murphy) but backing complete no-form types in a maiden at odds-on/short prices isn't where the value lies - Let's Smash It offers the best blend of proven ability and price.