Listowel 3:25 Result
Ballymore Handicap Hurdle (Listed)
Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | /200-6 | — | |||
| 2 | — | 32F-42 | — | |||
| 3 | — | 20-388 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionPaul's DreamConfidence 4/5Didn't win
Paul's Dream has a strong, progressive form line reading -51131, meaning three wins from her last five with the two blanks a fall and a mid-pack finish. She's clearly in career-best form, won last time out, and carries that momentum into this. Top yard Anthony Mullins with Danny Mullins on board is a strong booking signalling stable confidence. Her OR of 136 puts her right at the top of the handicap alongside Helvic Dream and Gameball, but unlike those, she's actually winning currently rather than resurfacing off breaks or finishing 2nd/3rd. Gameball (143-23) and Ragmans Corner (142-14) both have quality but are more inconsistent, while Helvic Dream is a veteran resurfacing from a long break (/200-6) and unproven that he retains his best form at 9. Venusienne (Mullins/Cobden) is interesting with a big yard and strong jockey but her few-race sample and stepping up in class make her slightly speculative compared to the battle-hardened, in-form mare. Starting Fifteen and Autumn Twist both have solid recent form but slightly lower ratings. Paul's Dream ticks the boxes: proven distance winner, in career-best form, top stable/jockey combo, and a rating competitive with the leading protagonists. She looks the most reliable each-way and win thread in a competitive 16-runner Listed handicap hurdle.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0 | 9 | 129 | 4950-0 | — | |||
| 11 | 0 | 7 | 129 | 32F-42 | — | |||
| 12 | 0 | 6 | 126 | 7221-0 | — | |||
| 14 | 0 | 6 | 121 | 3-1181 | — | |||
| 15 | 0 | 8 | 119 | 51P8-7 | — | |||
| 16 | 0 | 7 | 119 | 20-388 | — | |||
| 17 | 0 | 5 | 116 | F222 | — | |||
| 2 | 0 | ✓ | 9 | 136 | /200-6 | — | ||
| 3 | 0 | ★ | 7 | 136 | -51131 | — | ||
| Paul's Dream has a strong, progressive form line reading -51131, meaning three wins from her last five with the two blanks a fall and a mid-pack finish. | ||||||||
| 4 | 0 | 6 | 135 | 143-23 | — | |||
| 5 | 0 | 7 | 134 | 142-14 | — | |||
| 6 | 0 | 5 | 134 | 2175-0 | — | |||
| 7 | 0 | 5 | 133 | 5P6-21 | — | |||
| 8 | 0 | 6 | 133 | P/1-31 | — | |||
| 9 | 0 | 7 | 132 | 219-61 | — | |||
| NR | 0 | 6 | 123 | 93-113 | — | |||
| NR | 0 | 6 | 142 | 55D-28 | — | |||