Listowel 2:22 Result

This 17-runner handicap is a typical Listowel cavalry charge, so recent form and momentum matter more than class figures. She's On The Ball is the standout on profile: lightly raced 3yo filly who has been progressing fast, winning last time out (form reads 005831) just 13 days ago, clearly building on a promising campaign. She's Blue Point sired, out of a Kitten's Joy mare, a pedigree geared towards speed over 6-7f, and she's already proven she handles this trip with a decisive win. Weight-for-age (128lbs) is favourable versus the older, higher-rated types like Zabriskie Point (57 OR, 140lbs) and Gloriously Glam (56 OR, 139lbs), who are carrying more but showing plenty of morale-sapping placed-then-fades form (852090, 835257) rather than genuine improvement. Cisterna (58 OR) looks the market leader but his solitary standout figure inflates the mark - modest recent efforts (755802) with a rise expected off that mark. Sand Art also comes here fresh off a win (877001) and is a legit each-way type, but She's On The Ball has the stronger trainer/jockey booking with W.M. Lordan taking the ride, signalling real intent from a small yard capitalising on a filly clearly on the up. Draw 6 is workable in a 17-runner field, not too wide, not badly boxed in. The manner of her recent win, weight advantage versus the older top-rated horses, and clear upward trajectory make her the value combination here relative to what will likely be a well-backed, more exposed short-priced runner at the head of the market.