Kempton (AW) 8:30 Result

Madjid is clearly in-form with a 711 finish to his recent figures culminating in a win last time out just 7 days ago - fastest turnaround and freshest form of this small field. His form line 295711 shows steady progression and he's now winning with authority. Same OR (68) as top-rated Joseph but with much stronger recent trajectory - Joseph's 010443 shows he's actually gone the wrong way after an early win, now stringing together midfield efforts. Madjid's trainer Harry Charlton is a strong performer with lightly-raced improving types, and a rapid 7-day turnaround after a winning effort suggests the stable is very happy with him and looking to strike while fit and progressive. Draw 6 is workable in a 5-runner race over 1m3f at Kempton where pace isn't usually a decisive draw bias. The gelding looks to have more upside than Joseph, who needed to add headgear (blinkers) to try to find more, a sign the yard is searching for changes rather than building on unmistakable improvement. Pershalla's 795751 is progressive too but her figures are lower (OR 64) and she's already had to raise her game to get that win - looks to have more limited scope. Thatcham and Rogue Desire both have moderate/interrupted profiles - Rogue Desire hasn't run in 90 days and both are up against fitter, sharper rivals. Overall, Madjid looks the one going the right way with the profile of a horse ready to follow up.