Haydock 2:05 Result
Lee Thomas Christy Memorial Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)
Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | 53 | — | |||
| 2 | — | 54 | — | |||
| 3 | — | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionHighland GirlConfidence 3/5Didn't win
Small four-runner field with only two having any real recorded form. Highland Girl's form figures "03" suggest a clear second-placed effort last time out, showing she's already competitive at this level and improving with racecourse experience. Sea The Moon progeny handle testing ground and a mile well, which suits this heavy going test. Charlie Johnston's yard is in good form and Hector Crouch takes over, a positive booking. Girl Scout's "53" form is workmanlike but her runner-up effort was likely well below Highland Girl's placing, and Perfect Power as a sire leans more towards speed/sprint types rather than this deeper mile ground. Princess Lottie's "54" is modest and she has had a lengthy 49-day break, hard to have complete confidence fitness-wise, though Camelot stock can improve with distance and step up. My Girl Dee Mo is unraced - Almanzor/Lope De Vega influence suggests she may need the run and could easily be behind the experienced pair here on debut, especially in heavy ground first time.
Overall this looks a match between Highland Girl and Girl Scout on form figures. Highland Girl's runner-up finish (place higher in the whole field figure order) combined with a positive stable/jockey angle gives her the edge as best form horse in a small, weak-looking field. I don't see obvious market-beating value elsewhere given the unknown/lightly-raced profiles of the other three, so I'm siding with the horse showing the best recent form string in a below-par novice contest.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ✓ | 2 | - | 53 | — | ||
| 2 | 4 | ★ | 2 | - | 03 | — | ||
| Small four-runner field with only two having any real recorded form. Highland Girl's form figures "03" suggest a clear second-placed effort last time out, showing she's already competitive at this level and improving with racecourse experience. Sea The Moon progeny handle testing ground and a mile well, which suits this heavy going test. Charlie Johnston's yard is in good form and Hector Crouch takes over, a positive booking. Girl Scout's "53" form is workmanlike but her runner-up effort was likely well below Highland Girl's placing, and Perfect Power as a sire leans more towards speed/sprint types rather than this deeper mile ground. Princess Lottie's "54" is modest and she has had a lengthy 49-day break, hard to have complete confidence fitness-wise, though Camelot stock can improve with distance and step up. My Girl Dee Mo is unraced - Almanzor/Lope De Vega influence suggests she may need the run and could easily be behind the experienced pair here on debut, especially in heavy ground first time. | ||||||||
| 3 | 3 | 2 | - | — | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | - | 54 | — | |||