Hamilton 7:20 Result
#cleanstay At Hampton By Hilton Handicap Stakes
Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | 807632 | — | |||
| 2 | — | 53673 | — | |||
| 3 | — | 399047 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionPalmarianConfidence 4/5Didn't win
Palmarian has the joint-highest OR (60) and his recent form reads 951284 - that 2 and 4 in the last two runs show he's building into form, having been freshened after a couple of below-par efforts. He's dropped a big first-time hood on lately which appears to have sharpened him. Bred by Kingman out of a Dubawi mare, he's a well-bred sort who looks up to winning a race like this off this mark. James Sullivan takes over which is a positive booking. The other market principals have holes: Tee Aitch Aye shares top rating but his recent form (807632) is scratchier and he needed the run last time; Keats House is out of form (-77555) and has been well held; Kelpie Grey and Yaaser for Jim Goldie's yard have gone off the boil late in their sequences. Mimi's Magic and Aurelune are three-year-olds facing much more experienced handicappers over course and distance and are unproven at this level of competitiveness, while Aurelune is having a big let-up (60 days). Scheffler's recent 399047 line is poor. Palmarian looks the horse with most upward trajectory, race-fit having run 19 days ago, drawn reasonably in 7, and with a positive gear change. He looks the value bet to defy a workmanlike small-field Class 6 on his class edge and recent improvement.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ✓ | 5 | 60 | 807632 | — | ||
| 10 | 3 | 4 | 52 | 422687 | — | |||
| 2 | 7 | ★ | 4 | 60 | 951284 | — | ||
| Palmarian has the joint-highest OR (60) and his recent form reads 951284 - that 2 and 4 in the last two runs show he's building into form, having been freshened after a couple of below-par efforts. | ||||||||
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 59 | -77555 | — | |||
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 59 | 860680 | — | |||
| 5 | 6 | 6 | 58 | 985435 | — | |||
| 6 | 10 | 8 | 57 | 953384 | — | |||
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 59 | 325689 | — | |||
| 8 | 1 | 3 | 58 | 53673 | — | |||
| 9 | 2 | 3 | 58 | 399047 | — | |||