Hamilton 6:50 Result
Follow Us On X @hamiltonparkrc Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | -46169 | — | |||
| 2 | — | 123420 | — | |||
| 3 | — | 413129 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionThunderstorm KatieConfidence 4/5Didn't win
Thunderstorm Katie's recent form reads 226291 - a win last time out and consistently placed before that, showing she's in career-best form and clearly acts on soft ground given that recent sequence. She's dropped/holding a workable mark of 68 relative to rivals like Mae Amor, Diamont Katie and Lily Pearl who are 74-75 but with less consistent recent profiles (Lily Pearl unproven fresh off 90 days, Diamont Katie's 123420 shows inconsistency, Mae Amor's 109643 also patchy). Jim Goldie is a shrewd Scottish handicapper who knows this track well, and the booking of a claimer suggests continued confidence after the recent win. Invincible Ruby (413129) is the obvious market rival with a similar profile and same trainer as Pickersgill, but Thunderstorm Katie's superior recent form (an actual win, not just a place) and proven soft-ground effectiveness give her the edge. At 6f on soft, browsers with proven recent scoring ability and sharp yard trainers tend to go well fresh off a win. I favour her over the shorter-priced likes of Mae Amor/Diamont Katie who carry more weight for less certain recent form.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 75 | 16-019 | — | |||
| 2 | 1 | 4 | 75 | 109643 | — | |||
| 3 | 10 | 4 | 74 | 123420 | — | |||
| 4 | 8 | 3 | 75 | 341-39 | — | |||
| 5 | 3 | ★ | 5 | 68 | 226291 | — | ||
| Thunderstorm Katie's recent form reads 226291 - a win last time out and consistently placed before that, showing she's in career-best form and clearly acts on soft ground given that recent sequence. | ||||||||
| 6 | 2 | 4 | 68 | 413129 | — | |||
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 67 | 527283 | — | |||
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 68 | 3-228 | — | |||
| 9 | 4 | ✓ | 5 | 63 | -46169 | — | ||
| NR | 6 | 3 | 62 | 093326 | — | |||