Goodwood 3:45 Result

Tropical Sands carries the highest official rating (78) of the exposed types and her form figures 432 show consistent placed efforts, including presumably fair maiden company for Ed Walker, a trainer who progresses fillies well over middle distances. She's by Too Darn Hot out of a Danehill Dancer mare, a pedigree that stays 1m2f+ well, and she's already shown she handles a step up compared to newer/lightly raced rivals like Marquetry and Queen Of Scotland who have no form at all. Chimes Of Thunder (Haggas) is closely matched on rating (75) with a 6-2533 line showing she's been knocking on the door but hasn't crossed the line first either, and Haggas has a second string in Evening Call who looked promising on her sole start (3rd) but is unproven at this trip/class jump. Mathoura (74) has been competitive (236) and could easily out finish this field but her best form looks a shade behind Tropical Sands on both rating and battle-hardened profile. Draw 1 for Tropical Sands isn't a concern at Goodwood's straight 1m2f. Clifford Lee takes over which is a positive booking. Overall Tropical Sands looks the most proven and best judged for this trip/class, and represents a sensible source of value versus the unexposed maidens who carry more risk. I expect her to go off around 3/1-4/1, a fair, backable price given her clear form advantage.