Fontwell 5:07 Result

Midnight Pass carries top-weight for a reason - OR 91 is clear best in this modest Class 5 field, well clear of Lady Fortune (83) and the rest in the high 60s-70s. Her form figures 4-P4P3 look moderate on paper but she was runner-up/placed in better company judged by the rating, and a mare from the Keighley yard stepping into a weaker handicap looks the obvious clash of class vs the field. The pulled-up efforts came in stronger races and she resumes fresh (69 days) which can suit a young mare over hurdles. Lady Fortune is the closest on ratings and won last time out but has a habit of inconsistency (P-1410) and is now facing a rise in company/weight-for-age scenario against the top-rated. Guinness Lad, Hawa Jumeirah, Winston's Oath are all lower-rated and have to find a length of improvement to trouble the top two. Winston's Oath has some interesting form figures (36-397) and a leading yard/jockey combo (James Owen/Sean Bowen) but is unproven at a suitable big class edge and drops from a rating gap. On balance, class stands out: Midnight Pass's rating advantage in a weak limited handicap is the standout angle, and connections (Keighley father-son combo) know how to place these. She looks the value versus what will likely be a short price about Lady Fortune given her recent win.