Fontwell 7:33 Verdict

Raffles Nobu is in career-best form with a 342135 sequence, showing consistent placing/winning form and racing just 5 days ago meaning he's fit and sharp, with a quick turnaround suggesting the yard is happy with him. He carries the bottom weight of the handicap proper (160lbs) relative to his OR of 91, and crucially he won last time out or ran competitively within this sequence, showing he handles this class. The tongue-tie/blinkers combo (tb) suggests the yard has sorted out any focus issues, and the improvement curve is clearly upward. Jockey Quinlan booking adds confidence. Compare this to God Of Fire and Best Night who are heavier weighted at the top of the handicap (99/98 OR) but have had abbreviated recent form (God Of Fire's 24/14 is decent but inconsistent; Best Night hasn't run for a month). Brave Guest is interesting on class/rating (OR100) but his form figure includes a U (unseated) and he's stepping up in experience at just 4yo — could be vulnerable in a competitive 9-runner handicap. Aggagio and Double Power both show inconsistent recent form (82773, 0-9798) and are unproven to be peaking. Raffles Nobu's rapid r eappearance after just 5 days, his rock-solid placing sequence, and workmanlike weight make him the standout value combination of proven form and conditions fit. He's likely to go off at a reasonable price given the market may focus on the higher-rated older form horses at the top of the weights, but the recent sustained placing sequence signals a horse in tip-top form ready to go one better.