Fontwell 5:50 Verdict

Youdecide's form line 444P-1 shows a horse that has been building towards this, finishing with a clear win last time out just 3 days ago (quick backup suggests a yard with confidence and a fit, in-form horse). Top-weight at 175lbs with the highest OR (94, joint with Edgewell) is fully justified given the trajectory - three 4th placings followed by a fall and then a decisive victory suggests improving form and a yard that has found the right conditions/trip. Ben Pauling is a strong chase trainer and the rapid reappearance (3 days) is a positive sign of a horse in top form being campaigned aggressively while conditions suit. Edgewell (OR94, blinkers on) is the market rival with a good recent 3116 sequence, but has had a slightly longer break (13 days) and Youdecide's most recent effort looks the most progressive in the field. The rest of the field are lower-rated, mostly resurfacing after long absences (Pawpaw 551 days, Helios Allen 726 days) or laboring on marks well below the front two (King Of The Story 79, Of Corse I Can 71, Ballinoulart 69). This looks like a match between the top two on official ratings, and Youdecide's trajectory of form (improving into a win) combined with the confidence shown by a quick turnaround gives it the edge over Edgewell for the win.