Doncaster 2:25 Result

Highest-rated runner (OR112) with clear Group form under top connections (O'Brien/Ryan Moore). His form figures 291742 show progressive improvement, culminating in a solid recent effort, and he holds a clear rating edge of 5-6lb over the next best (Pershaada 106, Final Objective 107, Sale Shark 105). No Nay Never progeny are renowned as precocious sprinters well suited to 5f, and O'Brien's team have a strong record placing juveniles fresh into Group company. Draw 12 is wide but at Doncaster 5f that's not a major handicap and can even be an advantage if pace collapses in the middle. Moore's booking suggests this is the yard's leading hope for the race. Rivals like Pershaada and Final Objective have solid form but lower marks, while Sale Shark, Tokaido and Fast Track are unproven at this level of opposition/rating. Tokaido's rating is unlisted (unraced in a handicap context) but his 211110 figures are eye-catching – he's the material danger, but with a gelding tag and lower profile compared to Carry The Flag's Group pedigree and rating, I side with the classier colt. At likely industry prices around 3/1-4/1, Carry The Flag represents a fair combination of class edge and market support without being disproportionately short given the depth of this Group 2.