Carlisle 3:30 Result
Christmas Community Raceday 13th Dec Handicap Stakes
Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | 100-00 | — | |||
| 2 | — | 00-617 | — | |||
| 3 | — | 380439 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionTown QueenConfidence 4/5Didn't win
Town Queen's form figures 2221 stand out clearly in this field - she's been knocking on the door with three seconds before finally getting her head in front last time. That progressive form line, culminating in a win, suggests a filly on the up and still relatively unexposed for this grade given her modest OR of 75 (lowest weight-adjusted but rising). K.R. Burke is a strong yard with juvenile/3yo fillies and Sam James takes over having been aboard for the improvement. The rest of the field is more exposed and mixed: Rogue Attraction has more experience but a chequered 00-617 line and joins with a first-time visor which is unpredictable; Here Forever and Rikki Tiki Tavi have earlier promise (both won earlier in their campaigns) but have since found this level or dropped away, question marks over whether they're now handicapped up to their true best. Invincible Boy's 23-187 shows he's been running well but not winning, and has already had a look at this grade. Go Vince Go and Zarvali are consistent to a point but neither look big improvers, more solid than progressive. Kody B has a scattered profile without a standout trait. Town Queen's trajectory - three seconds then a win - is exactly the type of profile that often leads to more improvement, especially fresh off a decent break (70 days) which could mean a straightforward, uncomplicated task set by a shrewd yard. She looks the one with most upside and a genuine engine capable of winning again rather than just placing. I'll take her to confirm that improvement and win, seeing value if she's not prohibitively short given her relatively low official rating and rising profile.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 3 | 82 | 00-617 | — | |||
| 2 | 5 | 3 | 78 | 23-187 | — | |||
| 3 | 8 | ✓ | 3 | 78 | 100-00 | — | ||
| 5 | 1 | 3 | 77 | 380439 | — | |||
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 76 | 163707 | — | |||
| 8 | 4 | ★ | 3 | 75 | 2221 | — | ||
| Town Queen's form figures 2221 stand out clearly in this field - she's been knocking on the door with three seconds before finally getting her head in front last time. | ||||||||
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 73 | 1-0456 | — | |||
| NR | 10 | 3 | 69 | 5-8839 | — | |||
| NR | 3 | 3 | 78 | 41-045 | — | |||
| NR | 2 | 3 | 76 | 31 | — | |||