Carlisle 2:00 Result
Paul Kavanagh Memorial AJA Novice Flat Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (For Jockeys With Three Wins Or Fewer At Start Of Season)
Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | 487764 | — | |||
| 2 | — | 361275 | — | |||
| 3 | — | 933451 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionUp The JazzConfidence 4/5Didn't win
Up The Jazz carries top weight on merit with the highest OR (68 shared) and has been racing consistently well, with recent form of 361275 showing a win and multiple placed efforts at a similar level. Fahey yard is in good form and Isla Clarkson has shown promise in the saddle. The five-run sequence shows the horse is race-fit and finding form at the right time (16 days since last run, not too fresh, not overraced). Sanafi Zabeel (933451) also looks in-form with a recent win and is closely matched on the ratings, but Up The Jazz's runs have come at a slightly higher level and the trip of 1m1f looks ideal based on recent placings. Titian is stepping up in class/trip questions with a mixed recent record (06-604) and has had a break of 65 days, and Pedro The Poet's form figures (40508) are underwhelming with a similar big layoff. Epidavros is consistent but seems to plateau around 4th-5th, lacking the toughness to go one better against these rivals. Weight-wise, Up The Jazz is fairly treated at the top of the handicap given the profile, and the emerging amateur jockey combination adds intrigue without being a concern given her recent experience. Overall, the form and consistency of Up The Jazz stand out as the strongest and most reliable contender in a moderate, competitive novice amateur handicap field.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 8 | 69 | 06-604 | — | |||
| 2 | 4 | ★ | 5 | 68 | 361275 | — | ||
| Up The Jazz carries top weight on merit with the highest OR (68 shared) and has been racing consistently well, with recent form of 361275 showing a win and multiple placed efforts at a similar level. | ||||||||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 68 | 933451 | — | |||
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 67 | 40508 | — | |||
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 66 | 444354 | — | |||
| 7 | 3 | 4 | 58 | 05-880 | — | |||
| 8 | 2 | ✓ | 11 | 52 | 487764 | — | ||
| 9 | 9 | 5 | 49 | 955204 | — | |||
| NR | 5 | 7 | 62 | 228575 | — | |||