Beverley 5:00 Result

Tattie Bogle's recent form 272281 shows a horse in career-best shape, culminating in a win last time out and consistently placing/winning in his last five starts. At just 4yo with OR77 he looks lightly-raced relative to potential and is clearly progressive - the pattern of 2-7-2-2-8-1 shows he's found his form and is racing well within himself against similar class. Weight of 137lbs is fair off this mark, and the Johnston stable is in good form with a booked young rider in Callum Shepherd who knows the horse. Draw 6 is workable at Beverley over 7f. Compare to Glenfinnan who has an OR82 but his form figures (942018) are more mixed, with the odd big run but plenty of non-places - he needs to bounce back after being out of form recently and hood is already on. Obelix has some solid placed form but hasn't won since way back and his 155044 shows fading form, plus the widest draw (9) at Beverley is a concern over 7f. Mudamer, Star Material and others have question marks - Star Material's form figure includes a red R (refused/unseated) which is a red flag, and Style of Life's rating is modest. Nursia is interesting - improving handicapper for a top stable but drawn awkwardly and needs to bounce back from a break. On profile, Tattie Bogle looks the most confidently progressive, in-form, and prices should reflect a fair chance to follow up rather than be prohibitive given he's not a well-exposed group/highly-rated type. This looks the best combination of form, trajectory and place suitability in a competitive but winnable-looking Class 4 handicap.