Bellewstown 6:02 Verdict

Elusive Path is lightly raced but progressive - form figures of 3-2-3 show consistent placing with clear improvement, and he's stepping up in class/experience each time rather than regressing. Colin Keane takes the ride for G M Lyons, a top yard, suggesting confidence. At only 3yo carrying 130lbs off an OR of 76, he looks the type still improving with more scope than most of this field of older, more exposed handicappers. Many rivals (Glyndwr, Felix Somary, Girl Bear, Comfort Line, Gloriously Glam) show erratic or fading form figures with plenty of races where they've flattered to deceive. Morehampton and Goal Exceeded are the closest market rivals but Goal Exceeded's created a strong recent block of form (203144) already fully working through the handicapper, while Elusive Path with just 3 runs looks the most likely to have more in the tank. The step up to a stronger field is a query but the improving trajectory and yard/jockey combination give confidence he can defy a moderate scope for market support. Draw 10 is workable in a yielding-ground mile with a big field. I like him to keep progressing and take this on ratings potential rather than proven ceiling.