Ayr 2:00 Result
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Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | 818946 | — | |||
| 2 | — | 262916 | — | |||
| 3 | — | 103898 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionGreat ProfitConfidence 3/5Didn't win
Big 20-runner 5f handicap sprint, always chaotic, but Great Profit stands out on recent form: 822213 shows consistent placing/winning form at this level, including a recent win, and he's clearly progressive at 3yo with weight rising accordingly (137lbs, OR70 - top-rated alongside Vince L'Amour). Ran just 12 days ago suggesting fitness and consistent racing pattern, trainer Stephen Hanlon in good form. His figures read well compared to rivals who are mostly plateaued handicappers around OR54-69 with moreinconsistent form lines (6s, 9s, 7s scattered through). Draw 16 is wide but with 20 runners many will be forced wide anyway and pace should be even from stalls across the track at Ayr sprint course - stall bias less of a concern than in some other 5f tracks. Jim Goldie's trio (Oriental Prince, Thunderstorm Katie, Thistle Nil) are dangerous but none show the same upward trajectory - Oriental Prince has been running well but his best assets look eked out already, Thistle Nil's form figure includes big gaps (791801) suggesting inconsistency. Vince L'Amour has the joint-top rating but hasn't found the mark in a while (790208) and wears cheekpieces/tongue tie combo suggesting the yard is still working out how to get the best from him. Overall this is a wide-open, competitive sprint handicap, but Great Profit's recent scoring form and rising confidence give him the sharpest form profile of anyone in the field, and he looks the value versus the market jollies.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 5 | 69 | 748261 | — | |||
| 11 | 14 | 3 | 66 | 543474 | — | |||
| 12 | 3 | 3 | 65 | 508599 | — | |||
| 13 | 2 | 4 | 63 | 137305 | — | |||
| 14 | 13 | 5 | 62 | 4318-0 | — | |||
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 62 | 364273 | — | |||
| 16 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 093326 | — | |||
| 17 | 12 | ✓ | 6 | 55 | 818946 | — | ||
| 18 | 4 | 4 | 55 | 103898 | — | |||
| 19 | 19 | 9 | 54 | 672637 | — | |||
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 790208 | — | |||
| 20 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 01675- | — | |||
| 21 | 5 | 3 | 52 | 968497 | — | |||
| 3 | 21 | 6 | 69 | 653405 | — | |||
| 4 | 16 | ★ | 3 | 70 | 822213 | — | ||
| Big 20-runner 5f handicap sprint, always chaotic, but Great Profit stands out on recent form: 822213 shows consistent placing/winning form at this level, including a recent win, and he's clearly progressive at 3yo with weight rising accordingly (137lbs, OR70 - top-rated alongside Vince L'Amour). | ||||||||
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 69 | 694109 | — | |||
| 6 | 11 | 5 | 68 | 262916 | — | |||
| 7 | 15 | 4 | 68 | 791801 | — | |||
| 8 | 18 | 5 | 67 | 040426 | — | |||
| 9 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 050543 | — | |||
| NR | 17 | 4 | 65 | 242211 | — | |||