Windsor 4:12 Result

Aravalli's form figures 114113 show a filly in excellent, consistent form with three wins from her last six starts and never out of the first three. She races off an OR of 82, ran just 12 days ago (fresh and fit), and is clearly progressive at 3yo racing against older, more exposed handicappers. Her sire Australia and dam-side stamina influences suit this 1m3f trip, and the pattern of wins suggests she handles varying ground including give in the surface. Compared to the field: Great Bedwyn (828337) is solid but has more seconds/thirds than wins recently and is 6yo, likely fully exposed at this mark. Brigid's Well has the same OR (82) but a moppy recent form line (-50674) suggesting inconsistency. King Of Berkshire and Parisian Scholar are interesting the improving in-form types (131342 and 411602) but both carry lower weights suggestive of being marked slightly light, and Parisian Scholar's C&D efficiency is unproven at this trip having stepped up. Aravalli's recent figures are the strongest of anyone in the race - a genuine in-form filly with untapped upside as a 3yo taking on an experienced but more mixed-form group. She looks the most reliable source of a winning effort based on man-form and market expectations, and represents a fair calculated selection given the depth of the race.