Warwick 3:05 Result

Tralee Girl is the clear class act in this small field. Trained by Dan Skelton with Harry Skelton up, she boasts an OR of 115 - by far the highest rating on offer, with the rest unrated/lightly raced. Her form figures 3242-1 show consistent placing before a recent win just 8 days ago, meaning she's fit, in form and race-sharp with no let-up in preparation. Sea The Moon and Camelot bloodlines suit hurdling and this trip. Dan Skelton's yard has a strong strike rate with novice hurdlers switched quickly after a winning run, suggesting they're pressing on with a well-regarded filly. None of the opposition have proven form at this level - Sixpack has only run twice, Happy Harrison's form figures are moderate (7/0-59), Bath Taverness and Esther Spring are unexposed types without the rating profile to trouble a proper novice hurdle winner. Good to firm ground and 2m trip look ideal given her placing profile. This looks like a stable dropping a smart filly into a weak-ish novice event to build the rating and collect. The market should reflect her clear form and connections advantage, and I see no obvious pace or trip concerns against her. Best bet in the race by a distance on assessed ability and market fundamentals.