Thirsk 2:40 Result
British Stallion Studs Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Result
| Pos | Margin | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Form | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | won | 61 | — | |||
| 2 | — | 3 | — | |||
| 3 | — | 523 | — |
The Verdict
FormCast selectionScottys RocketConfidence 4/5Didn't win
Scottys Rocket's form figures "93" from just two starts stand out in this field of mostly unexposed or lightly-raced 2yos. A 9 suggests an eyecatching debut run, followed by a 3rd, and importantly ran only 10 days ago so is fit and progressive. Brian Ellison knows how to place his 2yo sprinters, and by Ten Sovereigns (a top-class sprinter sire) out of a Belardo mare, she has the pedigree to be sharp enough for 6f at this trip. Draw 5 is workable at Thirsk. Most rivals here are either unraced (Pippy Boy, Rum Point, Lord Bishop - hard to assess, unknown quantities) or have modest single-figure form (Reddy's 3rd, Uncle Zello's 03, Ma Blushin Rosie's 3rd) without the depth of experience Scottys Rocket already has. Callisterra (523) and Dontlookanyfurther (61, OR78) are the main market rivals but Dontlookanyfurther's rating of 78 with a losing effort last time and Callisterra's finishing 3rd suggest they are held below Scottys Rocket's level based on RPR-implied superior placing. Texting's 66 figures are moderate. Overall, Scottys Rocket looks the most consistently progressive type with the profile of a filly improving with racing, fits the closer scrutiny of the "genuine form" angle, and represents a solid single-figure form profile in a race full of question marks. I expect she'll go off at a fair price relative to her true chance given the presence of an OR78-rated favourite who hasn't shown enough to be feared underneath the surface.
Runners & Form
| No. | Draw | Horse | Age | Jockey | Trainer | OR | Form | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ✓ | 2 | 78 | 61 | — | ||
| 10 | 5 | ★ | 2 | – | 93 | — | ||
| Scottys Rocket's form figures "93" from just two starts stand out in this field of mostly unexposed or lightly-raced 2yos. | ||||||||
| 11 | 10 | 2 | – | 66 | — | |||
| 12 | 12 | 2 | – | 5 | — | |||
| 13 | 11 | 2 | – | 0 | — | |||
| 2 | 7 | 2 | – | — | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | – | — | ||||
| 4 | 13 | 2 | – | 3 | — | |||
| 5 | 8 | 2 | – | 03 | — | |||
| 6 | 6 | 2 | – | — | ||||
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 64 | 523 | — | |||
| 8 | 1 | 2 | – | 36 | — | |||
| 9 | 4 | 2 | – | 3 | — | |||